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Reading: U.S. Midterms: 1 day to go. What are the odds?
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U.S. Midterms: 1 day to go. What are the odds?

Aayushi Sanyal
Last updated: November 2, 2026 9:27 am
Aayushi Sanyal 10 hours ago
U.S. midterms... what do the polls say?

As Trump raises questions about two men sharing the name Dan Sullivan in the Alaskan Senate race, Americans reflect deep dissatisfaction with rising prices and living costs, even in the polls. Democrats are ahead of Republicans by 51% to 43% as of the latest information. Republicans are not as convincing anymore when it comes to improving the economy and living standards of the country. The issues raised by the voters, that is, the rising costs of gas, groceries, travel, insurance premiums, and healthcare, are not addressed as a priority, as results are anticipated within the next 24 hours.

What else is happening? Trump has shown Islamophobic interests and rhetoric attacking Muslim Democratic candidates before the 2026 midterm elections. These include Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, whom Trump called “Abdul Rahman Mohammed El-Sayed” and a “jihadist,” mocking that he has interests in Sharia Law. This also includes U.S. Representative Ilhan Omar. 

However, the Democrats’ lead in polls is not a direct attribute that translates to the final win. It depends on individual Senate results across Michigan, Texas, Iowa, Alaska, North Carolina, and Kansas. 

While Trump as a brand stays strong, his popularity within the U.S. is decreasing along with his approval ratings. The approval vs. disapproval percentages are increasingly clashing. Disapproval rates are highly elevated in October at 59.9% against an approval rate of 37.3%, compared with “Silver Bulletin” data from March 2025. 

Voters claim that the president hasn’t kept his promises and failed to prioritize a few critical issues. This includes promises of less chemical spraying on food, reduced gasoline prices below $2, lower electricity bills, tariffs, inflation, credit card caps, and much more. There are also clashes over support for Trump’s policies. 

Amid such rising concerns, Trump is campaigning all over the country. In such rallies, he claimed that the Democrats, if elected, will “bankrupt families” and “open the border.”  He also raised questions of voter “confusion” and the credibility of the vote, despite studies showing that such cases are rare. On the other hand, the Democrats are very confident of their wins over the House and Senate. According to studies, there is a preference margin for Democrats over Republicans, ranging from 7 to 10 percent. This could reshape democracy and administration based on the scrutiny of Trump’s policies. Democrats need 4 Senate seats and 218 seats in the House. Does that mean they could change the president’s policies? No, because Trump will still exercise his executive and presidential veto power. 

Read More: Examining four possible outcomes of the U.S. Midterms

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